Publications
Minnie M. Joo, Eric Keels, Krista Wiegand. Forthcoming. “Assessing Organizational Constraints on Self-Determination Claims in Civil Conflicts.” Journal of Peace Research.
Eric Keels, Minnie M. Joo, Krista Wiegand. 2025. “Substance Over Process? Rebel Group Grievances and the Durability of Peace Agreements.” European Journal of International Relations. [Replication Data]
Minnie M. Joo and Brandon Bolte. 2025. “Post-conflict Regimes and Pro-government Militias.” Civil Wars.
Minnie M. Joo. 2025. “Resolving bargaining problems in civil conflicts: Goals, institutions, and negotiations.” Journal of Peace Research. Online First. [Replication Data 1] [Replication Data 2] [Online Appendix]
Minnie M. Joo, Brandon Bolte, Nguyen Huynh, Vineeta Yadav, Bumba Mukherjee. 2025. “Right-Wing Populist Leaders, Nationalist Rhetoric, and Dispute Initiation in International Politics.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 69(2-3): 321–351. [Replication Data] [Supplemental Appendix]
Benjamin E. Bagozzi, Minnie M. Joo, Bumba Mukherjee. 2024. “Addressing Top-Category Inflation in International Relations Outcomes: The Top-Inflated Ordered Probit (TiOP) Model.” Foreign Policy Analysis. 20(2) orae006.
Minnie M. Joo and Santiago Sosa. 2023. “Governance interrupted: Rebel governance and pro-government militias.” Journal of Global Security Studies 8(3) ogad015. [Supplemental Appendix]
Minnie M. Joo, Brandon Bolte, Nguyen Huynh, Bumba Mukherjee. 2023. “Bayesian Spatial Split-Population Survival Model with Applications to Democratic Regime Failure and Civil War Recurrence.” Mathematics 11(8): 1886. [Replication Data] [Supplementary Appendix]
Minnie M. Joo and Bumba Mukherjee. 2021. “Rebel command and control, time, and rebel group splits.” International Interactions 47(2):318-345. [Replication Data]
Brandon Bolte, Minnie M. Joo, Bumba Mukherjee. 2021. “Security Consolidation in the Aftermath of Civil War: Explaining the Fates of Victorious Militias.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 65(9): 1459-1488. [Replication Data]
Minnie M. Joo, Nicolás Schmidt, Sergio Béjar, Vineeta Yadav, Bumba Mukherjee. 2020. “BayesMFSurv: An R Package to Estimate Bayesian Split-Population Survival Models With (and Without) Misclassified Failure Events.” The Journal of Open Source Software 5(48): 2164. [R-Package] [Reference Manual]
Benjamin E. Bagozzi, Minnie M. Joo, Bomin Kim, Bumba Mukherjee. 2019. “A Bayesian Split Population Survival Model for Duration Data With Misclassified Failure” (with R Package). Political Analysis 27(4): 415-434. [Replication Data] [R-Package] [Reference Manual]
Working Papers
Issues in Civil Wars & Rebel Goals
“If maximalist goals, then more (extreme) violence?”
“Do rebels listen?: Naming and Shaming of rebel groups” (with Jiahe Mi)
“Context Matters: Rebel Rhetoric, Institutions, and the Use of Terrorism in Armed Conflicts.” (with Eric Keels and Krista Wiegand)
“Something Beyond the Battlefield: An Issues-Based Approach to Understanding Civil War Dynamics.” (with Eric Keels and Krista Wiegand)
“Raising the Stakes: Ceasefire Outcomes and Rebel Claims.” (with Eric Keels and Krista Wiegand)
“Issues in Civil Wars: Rebel Grievances and Salience.” (with Eric Keels and Krista Wiegand)
Methods and Survey Experiments
“Foreign Support for Violent Rebels: Rebel Goals, Regime Type, and Public Opinion.”
“When do Foreign Observers Justify Terrorist Tactics? The Effects of Rebel Framing, Domestic Institutions, and Respondent Demographics.”
“Network analysis of realized rebel alliances and the alignment of rebel goals.” (with Hansol Kwak)
Minnie Minhyung Joo 